Risk model predicts relapse after frontline blinatumomab in paediatric B-ALL

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Published: 18 Jun 2026
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Prof Anthony Moorman - Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK

Prof Anthony Moorman speaks to ecancer about his study that evaluated outcomes in children and young people with chemotherapy-intolerant or resistant disease to develop a blinatumomab-specific risk model.
Blinatumomab is increasingly used as a chemotherapy-replacement strategy in B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, but its impact across different biological subgroups has remained unclear.

Results showed that survival outcomes were comparable to historical chemotherapy-treated cohorts, with high overall survival and low relapse rates. Importantly, traditional risk factors such as age, white cell count, and baseline disease characteristics did not predict relapse in this setting.

Instead, early response to blinatumomab particularly measurable residual disease after the first cycle along with specific genetic alterations including IKZF1plus and DUX4 rearrangements, were the strongest predictors of relapse.

These factors were integrated into the UKBlinPredict model, which successfully identified high- and low-risk groups with markedly different relapse outcomes.

Prof Moorman says that these findings highlight a shift toward response- and biology-driven risk stratification, supporting more personalized treatment approaches following frontline blinatumomab in B-ALL.

ecancer's filming has been kindly supported by Amgen through the ecancer Global Foundation. ecancer is editorially independent and there is no influence over content.

One of the studies that I’m presenting at EHA is about the use of blinatumomab in the frontline setting in a chemo-replacement strategy. What we were doing is looking at risk factors in that particular scenario.

What was the study design?

The study design is a real-world cohort, so patients received blinatumomab at the clinician’s discretion, either because they had high-risk disease or they had existing comorbidity or they had toxicity to chemotherapy that prevented them from carrying on that standard chemotherapy pathway. So patients received blinatumomab at different timepoints and for different reasons. So that heterogeneity is a key aspect of the cohort, which is both a strength in the sense that it’s real world but it’s also a limitation in the sense that it’s quite heterogeneous in the way that the patients were treated. So it’s not like a clinical trial.

What were the key results?

The key result of this study is that in this particular scenario of treating patients with blinatumomab frontline in a chemo-replacement strategy, the risk factors for blinatumomab response and relapse after blinatumomab are quite different from the traditional risk factors that are usually used within paediatric ALL. So MRD, or minimal residual disease, after blinatumomab is very important, particularly after the first cycle. But the MRD level prior to blinatumomab is not predictive of relapse.

In terms of genetics, the traditional high-risk genetic risk factors don’t seem to play a major role in the risk of relapse after blinatumomab. Instead, DUX4 rearrangement seems to have a higher than expected relapse rate and also a slower response to blinatumomab and also patients with the Ikaros+ profile also have a high risk of relapse after frontline blinatumomab.

What could be the clinical significance of these results?

The clinical significance of these results are that if we are going to introduce blinatumomab into frontline therapy we need to be very cautious about exactly how we do it for different types of patient. So our results need to be validated in a larger cohort and with longer follow-up. But they certainly indicate that not all patients will respond equally to blinatumomab, especially when given with reduced chemotherapy. It might be that different patients require different strategies depending on their genetic background and their initial response to blinatumomab.

What’s next for the study?

What we’d really like to do is validate our findings in a larger cohort. We are struggling at the moment to find such a cohort because, of course, not that many patients are being treated with blinatumomab in a frontline setting and also have comprehensive genomic workup. So that’s our first step is to try and do that. In the UK we are also altering the guidelines on use of blinatumomab in the frontline setting depending on the genetic background of the patient.