An observational study to evaluate factors predicting survival in patients of non-small cell lung cancer with poor performance status in resource-constrained settings

Background A significant proportion of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients present with poor performance status (PS) at baseline are almost always excluded from the clinical trials leading to availability of only limited data in this subgroup. Patients and methods This was an observational single institutional study. The eligibility criteria for inclusion were a histologic or cytologic diagnosis of advanced NSCLC and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group PS 3 or 4. All patients coming between June 2015 and December 2018 were evaluated for inclusion in this study. Results A total of 245 patients were enrolled in the study. The median age of the patients was 63 years (range 25–89), 142 (58%) were male, 196 (80%) had adenocarcinoma histology and 192 (78.4%) has PS 3 while rest (21.6%) had PS 4. Out of 245 patients, 192 (78.4%) received oral tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) and supportive care, 45 (18.4%) received supportive care alone, while 8 (3.2%) patients received chemotherapy along with supportive care. Median overall survival (OS) was 3 months (95% CI: 1.8–4.2) in patients who received oral TKI versus 1 month (1.0–2.9) in patients who received supportive care alone (log-rank p = 0.013). The median OS for epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutant patients who received oral TKI was 12 months (95% CI: 7.7–16.3), while it was 3 months (95% CI: 1.5–4.5) for patients who were EGFR wild-type and received TKI on compassionate basis (HR = 0.50; 95% CI: 0.32–0.77; p = 0.001). Conclusions The use of oral TKI on a compassionate basis led to improvement in survival in the overall cohort of the patients; this was principally driven by EGFR-mutated patients.


Introduction
A significant proportion of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients present with poor performance status (PS) at baseline. Lilenbaum et al [1] reported the prevalence of poor PS to be 34% when estimated by providers, while it was as high as 48% when estimated by patients themselves. A recent review by Friedlaender et al [2] found that 35% of NSCLC patients have PS 2 at diagnosis. The poor PS patients (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group [ECOG] PS 3-4) are almost always excluded from the clinical trials leading to availability of only limited data in this subgroup [3]. An analysis from our group which highlighted the reasons for management of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutant patients outside the clinical trial found that compromised ECOG PS >2 was the major reason (36.9%) for ineligibility of patients in a clinical trial [4]. Thus, it is clear that poor PS patients form a large chunk of new NSCLC cases in the real-world scenario and are underrepresented in trials.
Immunotherapy with or without chemotherapy is the current standard of care for patients with advanced NSCLC with no actionable mutations. Oral tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) are standard treatment for patients with driver mutations. EGFR mutations are present in about one-third of adenocarcinomas of the lung in patients of Asian origin [4]. Due to relative ease of administration and acceptable toxicity profile of EGFR inhibitors, the trials of these drugs included patients with PS 2 [5]. Erlotinib was considered a suitable option as second or third treatment for patients with advanced NSCLC unselected for EGFR mutation [6]. This study had shown improved overall survival (OS) with erlotinib 6.7 months versus 4.7 months, HR = 0.70 and p < 0.001. An important point to be noted is that around half of the patients were ≥60 years and one-third had PS 2-3. Another analysis of the same study found that older patients (≥70 years) treated with erlotinib benefited the same as young patients, albeit with greater toxicities [7]. After these studies, erlotinib was also tried in chemotherapy-naive older patients (≥70 years) with advanced NSCLC, unselected for EGFR and found an OS of 10.9 months (95% CI: 7.8-14.6 months) [8]. Of note, 10% of the patients had PS 2 at baseline and those patients who developed treatment-related rash (79%) had significantly better progression-free survival (PFS) and OS, with a median OS of 14.3 months versus 4.2 months.
Considering the limited data in poor PS patients from clinical trials, real-life data become useful in decision-making. Thus, we conducted an observational study to find out various aspects of these poor PS patients irrespective of the treatment offered which may help clinicians in the decision-making process in the clinic.

Trial design and conduct
This was an observational single institutional study. The study was approved by the institutional ethics committee. All patients provided written informed consent prior to participating in the study. The study is registered with the Clinical Trials Registry of India (CTRI/2014/11/005216). The study was conducted in accordance with the guidelines for good clinical practice -ICH E6(R2), Declaration of Helsinki and Indian Council of Medical Research guidelines. This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial or not-forprofit sectors.

Participants
The eligibility criteria for inclusion were a histologic or cytologic diagnosis of advanced NSCLC and ECOG PS 3 or 4. The patients should have been chemotherapy-naïve, older than 18 years and able to take oral medications. Patients were excluded if they had received any cancerdirected therapy previously.

Interventions
Patients were evaluated in the multidisciplinary thoracic oncology disease management tumour board; investigations and therapy were decided by the treating team. Subsequently, they were evaluated in the Medical Oncology department of thoracic disease management group for decision and treatment options. There was no separate intervention for this study purpose. No formal sample size calculation was carried out. All patients who presented between June 2015 and December 2018 were evaluated for inclusion into this study. For patients with poor PS, only EGFR and Anaplastic Lymphoma Kinase (ALK) were carried out as a part of the institutional protocol.
Adverse events during treatment were documented and graded using the common terminology criteria for adverse events, version 4.02. OS was calculated from the date of starting supportive care to the date of death. Patients who were still alive were censored on the date of last contact. All patients underwent baseline radiologic imaging using computerizsed tomography (CT) scan/positron emission tomography (PET) CT scan and magnetic resonance imaging/CT brain (optional). Patients who were started on oral TKI or chemotherapy were advised response CT scans every 2-3 months. The imaging scans were reported by experienced oncologic radiologists at the institution, as per the institutional practice. At each visit of the patient to the hospital, the database was updated. If the patient did not return to the hospital for follow-up, we attempted to contact the patient telephonically.
The database was maintained in an Microsoft Excel format. The details entered included the patient demographics, disease-related details, investigations, treatment planned, treatment delivered, symptoms, toxicity, progression and survival information. Demographic details were calculated by descriptive analysis. Toxicity data were presented with absolute numbers and simple percentages. Response rate was calculated using simple percentages. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival and log-rank test was used to analyse the various clinicopathological factors for their effect on survival. Cox regression analysis was used to carry out univariate and multivariate analyses. Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 20.0 was used for all statistical calculations.

Discussion
This is an observation study on NSCLC patients with PS 3-4 which is very uncommon in the existing literature. This study showed that patients receiving oral TKI on compassionate basis for patients with baseline poor ECOG PS had better survival when compared to the group not receiving oral TKI. There was doubling of OS at 6 months with the use of oral TKI (14.9% versus 32.7%, log-rank p = 0.013). The TOPICAL study, which randomised 770 patients unsuitable for chemotherapy to receive erlotinib versus placebo, found that the median OS did not differ between the two treatment groups; however, patients developing rash with erlotinib during the first month of use had significantly better OS versus placebo (HR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0·63-0·92; p = 0.005) [9]. This suggests that this clinical selection was one way to provide this effective treatment to these patients. It should be noted that the incidence of EGFR mutation in this study was relatively low (7%), whereas it was 26% in our study. This may explain the benefit in terms of OS for oral TKI use on compassionate basis in our study. The EGFR mutation rate was 28.4% in adenocarcinoma and 11.8% in SCC. These data are in congruence with previously published studies from our institute [10,11].
The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) recommends TKI for patients with driver mutations in NSCLC patients. However, an important limitation of this approach remains that we need to wait till the report is available. This will take approximately 2-3 weeks for report to be available as in our settings. In a significant proportion of these patients, biopsy was not feasible. One of the solutions is having liquid biopsy (especially by droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR)), but its utility is limited by its availability and the sensitivity of this test.
In our study, only PS 3-4 patients were enrolled. To our knowledge, this is the only study dedicated exclusively to PS 3-4 patients. In the TOPICAL study, PS 2 patients were also included. Despite this, there was significant OS benefit in our study. Also, there were 58.7% patients who were ≥60 years in this study which is clearly higher than previous data from our institute (24.3%) [12]. This points towards higher chances of presenting with poor PS in older patients. However, it is reassuring that a pooled analysis from the same authors concluded that EGFR TKI led to a similar survival in patients aged 60 years or older when compared to younger patients, except for a higher incidence of diarrhoea in older patients [12].
In a randomised phase II study by Chen et al [13], erlotinib was compared with vinorelbine in chemotherapy-naive, EGFR-unselected patients aged ≥70 years, with 23% of the patients having PS 2-3 [13]. The median OS was similar in the two groups (11.7 months for erlotinib versus 9.3 months for vinorelbine, p = 0.70). In our study, only eight (3.2%) patients received chemotherapy; hence, such comparison could not be made. In the IFCT-0301 study, EGFR-unselected patients with PS 2-3 were randomised to first-line gefitinib, gemcitabine or docetaxel [14]. The survival rates were similar in all groups with higher toxicities in docetaxel group. All these studies point towards the option of using oral EGFR TKI in unselected patients with poor PS at baseline. In our study, the use of EGFR TKI was a significant factor affecting the OS in the univariate analysis along with ECOG PS and smoking history. It is well established that smokers have poorer progression-free survival when receiving first-line EGFR TKI when compared with never-smokers [12,15]. The mutation burden in smokers is estimated to be at least 10 times higher in lung adenocarcinoma patients when compared to never-smokers [16]. These mutations can occur in DNA mismatch repair genes resulting in secondary resistance to EGFR TKI besides activating various bypass pathways [16]. In our study, HR for smokers was 1.52 (95% CI: 1.16-1.98; p = 0.002) when compared to never smokers and this was significant on multivariate analysis also signifying that smoking is an independent prognostic factor in the study patients. It should be noted that this study evaluated treatment-naive patients with baseline ECOG PS 3-4, while most of the previous studies have included patients with PS 2-3 or pre-treated patients with PS 3-4 [17]. At the same time, PS continues to be an important prognostic factor for OS even in EGFR-mutated patients. In a study by Yao et al [18], patients with EGFR-mutated NSCLC treated with first-line gefitinib had a much poorer median OS for PS ≥2 (14 months; 95% CI: 8.0-20.0) when compared to overall median OS of 26.9 months (95% CI: 21.2-32.5; p < 0.001) [18].
This study provides real-world data on the benefit of using oral TKI on a compassionate basis in poor PS patients at baseline. It led to significant improvement in OS primarily driven by EGFR-mutated patients. This approach is useful in Asian countries where the incidence of EGFR mutation is higher when compared to the West. The present study suffers from some important limitations. This study was not a randomised one and the toxicity data were available only in a limited number of patients. Besides, EGFR testing was possible in only 50% of the patients because the patients were deemed unfit for any cancer-directed therapy by the treating physician. Also, the ideal approach would have been rapid testing of the EGFR and ALK status and offering immunotherapy. However, this is not possible in constrained resources settings in the real world. The authors would like to highlight that this study was carried out till 2018, when the use of PDL1 testing and other mutations were rare. An important strength of the study being inclusion of only PS 3-4 patients for which very limited data are available.

Conclusion
The use of oral TKI on a compassionate basis led to improvement in survival in the overall cohort of the patients; this was principally driven by EGFR-mutated patients which formed around 26% of the tested patients which is in congruence with previously reported EGFR mutation rates.